Repost: “Educating the Fed and Climate Alarmists” by Bob Hoye

Click to access cmre-spring-2014-educating-fedclimate-alarmists-2.pdf

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A well written documentation of climate madness.

Well written documentation of climate madness.   

http://www.weeklystandard.com/articles/climate-cultists_794401.html?page=3

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“Modelling Madness” .. a reblog

Complex computer models are continually being used to generate incessant alarms about the future for our environment and resources – climate, weather, minerals, oil, food, water, pollution and the oceans.

Every year the computers get more expensive, and the models more complex, but their doomsday forecasts still fail.

Models are simple in principle. They have a formula linking two or more variables, such as rainfall in a catchment area and the water level in a dam. The model can tell us that 200mm of rain will fill the dam. But a few failed forecasts will result in a more complex model that tries to take account of obvious complicating factors such as ground cover in the catchment area and the rate of precipitation. Then more rainfall recording stations will be needed, and more complicating factors will be identified . . . needing a bigger computer.

Imagine the complexity of a mathematical model designed to forecast something as simple as next Wednesday’s weather in Brisbane, Birmingham or Boston.

The British Met Office owns Britain’s most powerful super computer. It can make 1,000 billion calculations every second while consuming more electricity than a small town. The Met claimed that it “will enable the Met Office to deliver more accurate forecasts, from hours to a century ahead”. Some 400 climate high priests attend this electronic monster. But it has totally failed to forecast several frigid European winters because the model makers believe their own story and have programmed the models with a global warming bias. They assume without proof or evidence that carbon dioxide controls global temperature.

The global models of IPCC climateers also have a warming bias and have failed spectacularly to date – their global temperature predictions have been wrong for 17 years straight. 
When do they give up? ~ Viv Forbes 23/4/2014

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“the most important forensic concept of the early 21st century.”

Be very wary of people who make ‘the hair stand up on the back of your neck’, such as when you are in the presence of a mad dog or a predator. Avoid them if possible. Psychopathy is considered “the most important forensic concept of the early 21st century.” (John Monahan, comments on cover jacket of Handbook of Psychopathy, ed. Christopher J. Patrick (New York, NY: Guilford Press, 2006))

A clinical assessment of psychopathy is based on the person having the full cluster of psychopathic traits – as described in the table below at least to some degree – based on a pattern of lifetime behaviors. There are two clusters of factors within the overall traits. Factor 1 has been correlated with narcissistic personality disorder, low anxiety, low empathy, low stress reaction, and low suicide risk but high scores on scales of achievement and social potency. They may or may not be violent, but they are dangerous. In practice, mental health professionals rarely treat psychopathic personality disorders as they are considered un-treatable and no interventions have proved to be effective.

Psychopathy Checklist-Revised: Factors, Facets, and Items
Factor 1 Factor 2 Other items

Facet 1: Interpersonal

Facet 2: Affective

  • Lack of remorse or guilt
  • Emotionally shallow
  • Callous/lack of empathy
  • Failure to accept responsibility for own actions

Facet 3: Lifestyle

  • Need for stimulation/proneness to boredom
  • Parasitic lifestyle
  • Lack of realistic, long-term goals
  • Impulsivity
  • Irresponsibility

Facet 4: Antisocial

  • Many short-term marital relationships
  • Promiscuous sexual behavior

The manipulative skills of some psychopaths are valued for providing audacious leadership.[42] It is argued psychopathy is adaptive in a highly competitive environment, because it gets results for both the individual and the corporations[43][44][45] or, often small political sects they represent.[46] However, these individuals will often cause long-term harm, both to their co-workers and the organization as a whole, due to their manipulative, deceitful, abusive, and fraudulent behaviour.[47]

Many psychopaths exhibit a profound lack of remorse for their aggressive actions, both violent and nonviolent, along with a corresponding lack of empathy for their victims. This central psychopathic concept enables them to act in a cold-blooded manner, using those around them as pawns to achieve goals and satisfy needs and desires, whether sexual, financial, physical, or emotional. Most psychopaths are grandiose, selfish sensation seekers who lack a moral compass – a conscience – and go through life taking what they want. They do not accept responsibility for their actions and find a way to shift the blame to someone or something else.

Psychopaths can be adept at imitating emotions that they believe will mitigate their punishment. In general, psychopaths are glib and charming, and they use these attributes to manipulate others into trusting and believing in them. This may lead to people giving them money, voting them into office, or, possibly, being murdered by them.

Victims

The reactions of psychopaths to the damage they inflict most likely will be cool indifference and a sense of power, pleasure, or smug satisfaction, rather than regret or concern. Most people closely associated with a psychopath may know something is wrong with that person, but have no idea as to the depth of the pathology. Victims frequently will blame themselves for all of the problems they have had with a psychopath, whether at work, in a relationship, or within a family. After interacting with psychopaths, most people are stunned by these individuals’ ruthlessness, callousness, and denial or minimization of the damage they have caused.

Hare has described psychopaths as ‘social predators’,[48] ‘remorseless predators’,[49] or in some cases ‘lethal predators’,[50] and has stated that ‘Psychopathic depredations affect people in all races, cultures, and ethnic groups, and at all levels of income and social status’.[3]   http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hare_Psychopathy_Checklist

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Excellent Kleiner Perkins slide presentation

 

 

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Reblog. Some great writing by The Pointman

The Age of Unenlightenment.

 

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Bias at the UN IPCC. A true believer recommends reform there.

A true believer of global warming, a member of the UN IPCC editorial team since 1994 recommends reform of the UN IPCC and explains several reasons. Here is one:

“The Summary for Policy Makers is drafted by academics, but approved line-by-line by government representatives. Every clause that could possibly be used against a government position, either in a domestic debate or in international negotiations, was neutered or removed.”

…

“There are large climate bureaucracies around the world, who exist by virtue of climate science. If you abolish the IPCC, the climatocracy will create a new IPCC. The IPCC should therefore be reformed.

Here are some suggestions:

Away with the infrequent, massive set pieces. Away with alarmism – that has been tried for 25 years, with no discernible impact on emissions. Away with activists posing as scientists. Away with the freshman mistakes.

Just good, sober, solid science. Let the chips fall where they may.”

Richard Tol is a professor of economics at the University of Sussex and the Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam. He has been involved in the IPCC since 1994.

http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2014/05/20/un-climate-change-expert-reveals-bias-in-global-warming-report/

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Re-blog: She survived Hitler and wants to warn America

She survived Hitler and wants to warn America

 

 

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Beware: the oligarchy is protecting itself.  This past week, the Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit (one step down from the Supreme Court) upheld the EPA’s newest limits on airborne particles (soot). The court wrote. “Petitioners simply have not identified any way in which EPA jumped the rails of reasonableness in examining the science.”

May it please the court, what is reasonable about this?  The EPA made many unsubstantiated claims as to the health benefits of the new rules.  Some of these claims are based on a “science” that has not been disclosed to the public and which members of Congress have been requesting for years.  In fact, Congress issued a subpoena (link below) to obtain copies of the “secret science” EPA used for its determinations, and Congress was told by EPA administrator McCarthy that the EPA does not have these methods and cannot produce them.  This decision by the appeals court illustrates that the Federal court system is highly biased towards government agencies, protects the oligarchy even when the agency cannot produce the evidence, and the court will not protect the public from zealous bureaucrats who claim onerous regulations are based on science. http://junksciencecom.files.wordpress.com/2013/08/epa-subpoena.pdf

Beware, the U.S. has regressed to the banana republic socialist oligarchy.  You cannot depend on the courts to protect you, unless you can buy your way out.  

References:

http://junksciencecom.files.wordpress.com/2013/08/epa-subpoena.pdf

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_law_of_oligarchy

Quotes and edits from The Science and Environmental Policy Project.  Ken Haapala.  May 10, 2014.  http://www.sepp.org/twtwfiles/2014/TWTW%205-10-14%20%20Final.pdf

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Dear Mr. President “…the case for alarm regarding climate change is grossly overstated.”

Dear Mr. President [Obama]: “We, the undersigned scientists, maintain that the case for alarm regarding climate change is grossly overstated. Surface temperature changes over the past century have been episodic and modest and there has been no net global warming for over a decade now. After controlling for population growth and property values, there has been no increase in damages from severe weather-related events. The computer models forecasting rapid temperature change abjectly fail to explain recent climate behavior.

Mr. President [Obama], your characterization of the scientific facts regarding climate change and the degree of certainty informing the scientific debate is simply incorrect.” 

Dear Mr President, with all due respect

Satellite Global Temperature Record

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