How orthodox climate pseudoscience works

In the technical journal article on climate models at the link below, “Causes of the Global Warming Observed since the 19th Century,” these orthodox climate modelers acknowledge the current cooling period as well as the cooling period that occurred from 1945 to 1976.  In instances when their models predict warming based input of empirical measurements as known values in their math functions and eliminating all the other variables they think they know, then they claim warming is due to human-produced greenhouse gas.  But, in other instances when their models don’t predict warming temperature, they conclude that the cooling is due to natural internal variabilities which offset their forcing parameter.

Bottom line, they use the forcing parameter as a plug in their models.  A plug is an assumption, not proof.  It plugs in a value or a math function that makes the model produce the expected answer when all the other variables are believed to be known.  Then the climate modelers conclude that their models agree with measured temperatures based on their assumptions.  Use of a plug along with elimination of other variables is a logically valid tool to aid in development of a mathematical model.  But, until the model containing the plug works under all conditions, it is only a hypothesis…that is, speculation.

They conclude it is going to rain tomorrow unless it does not rain.

The simple way to understand the invalidity of climate models is that they failed to predict the current, ongoing, statistically flat period which has so far lasted 18 years.  Instead of predicting statistically flat temperature, their climate models predicted rapidly rising temperatures which they claimed would result in no ice at the poles, more hurricanes, the end of polar bears, mass starvation, rapid rise of sea level, etc among a seemingly never ending list of catastrophes intended to scare people into giving them more money.

If they had a model that worked under all conditions, then there would be only one model, not many models.  If they had a model that worked, Obama, De Caprio, Gore, Kerry, and a small group of climate conference parasites would not be flying around in jets spewing greenhouse gases.  In this case, the model does not fit, so we must convict.

So far, there is only one model that closely tracks actual temperatures.  That model is by the Russians.  The Russian model so far has only been used for a few conditions.  The Russian model is the dashed magenta line that touches the actual temperature in 2015.  It is worthwhile to remind readers that the Russians have declined to support the UN global climate agenda.

http://file.scirp.org/pdf/ACS20120400002_59142760.pdf

John Christy Congressional testimony

 

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Memory leak

Borg

Memory leak

“Fixed memory leak that occurs when opening a portable document format (PDF) form multiple times.” ~ Microsoft. (1)

Gee, I wonder who would want to do that?

References:

  1. http://windows.microsoft.com/en-us/windows-10/update-history-windows-10
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Nature does some crazy stuff

Nature does some crazy stuff, Ted. I guess you saw the reported research in Tel Aviv on the nematode? They have figured out the epigenomic pathways for transgenerational memory in the nemotode, one the best known genomes and a model system. “Nematodes are the most numerous multicellular animals on earth. A handful of soil will contain thousands of the microscopic worms, many of them parasites of insects, plants or animals.” (1) Your basic roundworm. Photogenic? I don’t think so. But just imagine that you can teach one something and it can be remembered and acted on three or four generations later, and we don’t yet know how long. I have mentioned it in my blog before.  This means that the rate of growth of knowledge will go hyperbolic.  This means that massive growth of knowledge and building momentum will drive an entirely different kind of civilization than we have today.

Nature does some crazy stuff  and it’s good news.

  1. http://nematode.unl.edu/what-is-a-nematode.htm
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“Abuse of Power”

Full page ad in NYT slams climate witch hunt by Attorney General Claude Walker, Al Gore and 12 other Attorneys General: “ABUSE OF POWER … All Americans have the right to support causes they believe in.”NYT – CEI Open Letter Ad – FINAL – May 17 2016
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The probable effect of the increasing global atmospheric CO2 concentration

“The probable effect of the increasing global atmospheric CO2 concentration on agricultural yields was evaluated…the analysis showed that yields probably will increase by 33% (with a 99.9% confidence interval from 24 to 43%) with a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration.”

Carbon Dioxide and Agricultural Yield: An Assemblage and Analysis of 430 Prior Observations, AGRONOMY JOURNAL, VOL. 75, SEPTEMBER-OCTOBER 1983, by B. A. Kimball, Soil scientist, U. S. Water Conservation Laboratory, Phoenix, AZ. http://naldc.nal.usda.gov/download/53689/PDF

 

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That dog will hunt

Interesting research coming out of Israel on the trans generational inheritance of memory. When I was a kid working in my dad’s animal hospital and interested in science, we would sometimes help breed dogs for their owners. During these times, dad would recount anecdotal observations gathered over his career. He was interested and I became interested in one of these observations.
 
Two well trained show dogs could be bred and the puppies sold very young to proud buyers for good money. They would receive detailed family trees going back many generations registered at The American Kennel Club. Rarely did the puppies see the parents again. But the puppies, like the parents, continued to come for their regular visits to dad, their veterinarian. Dad observed and then I observed that the young puppies in isolation behaved like the parents. For example the poodle puppy would hold its head up proudly and do the traditional dog show goose step prance just as the fine specimen parent show poodle had been trained and displayed in shows. All the new owner needed to do was reinforce the puppy’s behavior and usually they too had a show dog. This puppy behavior occurred even though the puppy was untrained and never exposed to the parent after whelping. I had one of these poodle puppies, Napoleon Bonaparte Trigger.
 
Perhaps you discovered a precocious “talent” to play the piano or guitar or some other skill.
 
This research out of Israel could be the beginning to explain how this might work. The implications of full working knowledge have been explored in science fiction and they are mind boggling expansive.
 
Here is a link to a review of the research followed by the link to the research paper in the journal “Cell,” which unfortunately is behind a paywall.
 
 
C elegans GoldsteinLabUNC
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Mr. Trump, tear down THIS wall

Mr. Trump, tear down THIS wall: repeal and replace the Administrative Procedures Act.  Claw back our rights from the police state.

The larger issue of central government control over the states, control over free associations of people such as corporations and churches, control over individuals was decided by the Supreme Court long ago.  We mere citizens are to be administered.

The states, associations and people can be coerced, intimidated, robbed, investigated and otherwise forced to obey not only President Obama through the Department of Education on the issue of transgenders in bathrooms but also any and all U.S. government agencies (e.g. Department of Education, EPA, BLM, FBI, IRS, FDA, NSA, ATF, DOJ etc.) without Constitutional due process if that agency is acting reasonably on its mission as broadly defined by the law, subject only to the demonstrably ineffectual administrative protections of the Administrative Procedures Act of 1946 (APA).  No warrant needed. No grand jury needed.  No jury trial.  Unwarranted surveillance and search and seizure.  No congressional or state approval needed. A real example of Orwellian “doublespeak,” APA includes the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) and the Privacy Act.

The SCOTUS case was U.S. vs Morton Salt in the 1950s and the legal principle used against Morton has been re-affirmed in subsequent cases.  It is considered settled law.  Attorney General Claude Walker of the U.S. Virgin Islands supported by a conspiracy of other attorney generals and Al Gore recently subpoenaed ExxonMobil for a fishing expedition requiring ExxonMobil to produce decades of ExxonMobil files without involvement of a judge, a court order, a grand jury or other due process.

Do you fantasize that the government will not come after you because you are protected by the Constitution and the Bill of Rights?  If big brother is going after ExxonMobil, they will come after you and me or any Congressman or judge whenever they want.

The U.S. vs Morton Salt case relies on the APA, which allows agencies themselves to write their own rules without further involvement by Congress.  Agencies can and do expand their scope and define regulations without congressional approval so long as the action is reasonably within the broadly written mission of the agency.  The agency need not even be created by law or an act of Congress.  It could have been created by Executive Order, such as President Nixon created the EPA.  The APA relieves Congress of their responsibilities and duties under the Constitution, or so the courts and Congress have decided.  They have been assimilated.

Thus, regulating CO2, a harmless trace gas necessary to life, is considered by SCOTUS, presidents, EPA etc to be within the regulatory purview of EPA if the head of EPA determines so. And so the chief administrator of the EPA made her “Final Determination” and the pumpkin turned into a nightmare supporting global government and loss of your sovereignty and rights.  The President through the Department of Education can coerce and intimidate schools to allow confused boys into girl’s bathrooms, locker rooms and gym classes.  The IRS targets conservatives and resistance in Congress was futile.  The issue is now considered administrative law …i.e. not an issue of rights or constitutional law.  You will be assimilated.

The transgender bathroom issue is part of a continuing agenda by so-called progressives to obscure the ability of people to decide right from wrong, good from bad. It is a brainwashing technique which results in the well known Stockholm syndrome. The victims become compliant and accepting of the wrongs being done to them, unlikely to resist authority and willing to do any act they are told.  President Obama is Ramsey Bolton destroying the will of Theon Greyjoy, heir to the Iron Throne, in George R. R. Martin’s great fiction The Game of Thrones.

This strategy, which none dare call treason, has been underway for decades and it has already succeeded in assimilating tens of millions of Americans and most all of Europe. The late, self-professed liberal, gay, philosophy professor Allan Bloom describes in his 1987 book ‘The Closing of the American Mind’ “how higher education has failed democracy and impoverished the souls of today’s students.” He focuses on the “openness” and tolerance explicit in the moral relativism taught from K-12 to university as leading paradoxically to the “closing” referenced in the book’s title. “Openness,” tolerating the intolerable, and moral relativism undermine critical thinking and eliminate the “point of view” that defines cultures and morality.  You will be assimilated.

The fix would be for Congress to repeal and replace the Administrative Procedures Act (APA) and review all laws and regulations that rely on it.  No Democrat or RINO will dare repeal APA.  No conservative will propose repeal because the agencies will be unleashed against them.  The APA is the basis for the excessive, rapid growth in size, budget and regulatory control of federal agencies…THE foundation for the collectivist nanny state.

If you hope for change from a President Trump in addition to stopping the invasions and amnesty of illegal aliens, muslims and released felons, then push Trump for repeal of the Administrative Procedures Act. That would go a long way toward realigning Congress to its constitutional duties and re-empowering Congress to rebalance the relative powers of the branches of federal government.

References:

https://epic.org/open_gov/Administrative-Procedure-Act.html

 

 

 

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Please consider signing this petition

http://www.cosaction.com/

Thanks

 

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Shame on us

A citizen lying to federal agents is vigorously prosecuted. On the other hand, federal agents are paid to lie and trick citizens, well paid and promoted when successful. The federal government and some states hire contractors in well known companies to spy on people and sometimes to kill people.  Why is this legal?

When someone blows the whistle on this immoral behavior by government, that person is declared a traitor and hunted down, imprisoned or killed. When a government blows up or kills innocent civilians and children by the thousands, government hides it, but even when disclosed nothing is done to stop it, much less to prosecute the perps.

Before long, a false flag operation will burn down our Reichstag too. And the majority will march in lockstep to reveal those who march to a different drummer.

Shame on us all for allowing this.

Bake the cake

Bake the Cake 2

Collectivism

 

 

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Open letter to Attorney General Claude Walker

Dear Attorney General Walker:
 
You wrote in April, “According to multiple reports, ExxonMobil publicly maintained that the causes and impacts of climate change could not be predicted, while privately ExxonMobil knew — and acted upon — its own research showing that climate change was both real and could be modeled. If true, these statements could violate Virgin Island laws barring consumer and securities fraud, as well as CICO [the Criminally Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act].”
 
Attorney General Walker, you and your co-conspirators in RICO-20 are seriously confused, sadly misinformed and wasting more taxpayer money. ExxonMobil is correct that the causes and impacts of climate change can not be predicted. You have no admissible real world evidence as to the cause or impacts of climate change. So far, no one can predict the climate, therefore no one can predict the possible impact of unknown climate.
 
Consider for example Obama chief science adviser John Holdren’s claim that anthropogenic global warming is causing cooling. Pressured to disclose his evidence by a Freedom of Information Act suit, Holder’s office admitted he has no evidence to support his claim.
 
The fact that climate change is real and the fact that climate can be modeled are both well known facts. The fact that Exxon knew these well known facts is not enlightening nor does it in any way conflict or contradict with the other well known facts that the cause and impacts of climate change cannot be predicted. Hundreds of climate models have been created costing billions of U.S. taxpayer dollars. So far, none of these models has been able to predict real world climate with acceptable statistical accuracy. Mr. Walker, you and a few scientists may believe that it will be warmer next year, but you do not know that. It is not a fact. Even when known values of historical conditions are entered into the best available climate models, the models fail to predict the correct temperature. Yes, as you suspect and ExxonMobil knows, climate can be modeled, Mr. Walker, but the models don’t work correctly. Models are hypothetical.
 
Mr. Walker, what court of law will allow a hypothetical to be introduced as evidence? Even more so a hypothetical which has a track record of producing the wrong answer?
 
Mr. Walker, since you filed your subpoena against ExxonMobil based partly on securities law, did you consider the fact that if anyone actually could predict the climate, then in short order that person could be easily the world’s wealthiest person? In the futures, options and other derivatives markets that person could make their fortune on commodities which are dependent on climate. Why would they waste their time making speeches for $100,000 per hour or filing government grants or running a green non-profit organization? They could click a few keys on their computer and become the first quadrillionaire…that is, if they could accurately model climate.
 
Mr. Walker, if you insist on using unconstitutional legal processes, then you should be using your warrant-less subpoena power to investigate the fraud being actively perpetrated on you and all Americans by those people taking taxpayer money, billions of dollars each year, by spreading false alarms based on hypothetical models which those fraudsters know fail the tests of science and statistics.
 
There you have it Mr. Walker: the exculpatory evidence to exonerate ExxonMobil and the inculpatory evidence to prove the guilt of climate alarmists. All you and your conspirators need to know is (1) Who knew? (2) when did they know it? and (3) How much money did each of them defraud from the American taxpayer?
Climate Models vs reality
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