Published in Nature Medicine journal, this study (link below) suggests SARSCoV2 antibodies (the China or CCP virus) may only last 2-3 months after the person becomes infected with the virus.

37 asymptomatic and 37 symptomatic patients showed that within eight weeks, 81% of the asymptomatic people saw a reduction in neutralizing antibodies, compared with 62% of symptomatic patients. Additionally, antibodies fell to undetectable levels in 40% of asymptomatic people, compared with 12.9% of symptomatic people. These data makes sense since in other coronaviruses, for example the ones that cause the common cold, protective immunity ranges from 3-6 months.

It means there will be no successful vaccine, just as there is no successful vaccine for the common cold or flu. But, of course, there will be a vaccine and there may be a push to force people to accept it and/or prove you have had the vaccine. But it won’t prevent the disease.

It also means that so-called herd immunity will be temporary only. Like the flu or colds, it is probable that this China virus will be returning in ever-mutating waves over time. Its time period may be year after year like colds and flu, but it is still too early to predict its periodicity.

Life and business must go on. Let’s get back to life as usual…not life as a new normal and all of that narrative spin.

About budbromley

Bud is a retired life sciences executive. Bud's entrepreneurial leadership exceeded three decades. He was the senior business development, marketing and sales executive at four public corporations, each company a supplier of analytical and life sciences instrumentation, software, consumables and service. Prior to those positions, his 19 year career in Hewlett-Packard Company's Analytical Products Group included worldwide sales and marketing responsibility for Bioscience Products, Global Accounts and the International Olympic Committee, as well as international management assignments based in Japan and Latin America. Bud has visited and worked in more than 65 countries and lived and worked in 3 countries.
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