Trenberth on UN IPCC projections

“In fact there are no predictions by [UN] IPCC at all. And there never have been. The IPCC instead proffers “what if” projections of future climate that correspond to certain emissions scenarios. There are a number of assumptions that go into these emissions scenarios. They are intended to cover a range of possible self consistent “story lines” that then provide decision makers with information about which paths might be more desirable. But they do not consider many things like the recovery of the ozone layer, for instance, or observed trends in forcing agents. There is no estimate, even probabilistically, as to the likelihood of any emissions scenario and no best guess.”

“Even if there were, the projections are based on model results that provide differences of the future climate relative to that today. None of the models used by IPCC are initialized to the observed state and none of the climate states in the models correspond even remotely to the current observed climate. In particular, the state of the oceans, sea ice, and soil moisture has no relationship to the observed state at any recent time in any of the IPCC models.” ~ Oliver Morton on behalf of Kevin E. Trenberth.

Trenberth is part of the Climate Analysis Section at the USA National Center for Atmospheric Research. He was a lead author of the 2001 and 2007 IPCC Scientific Assessment of Climate Change and serves on the Scientific Steering Group for the Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) program. In addition, he serves on the Joint Scientific Committee of the World Climate Research Programme.
http://blogs.nature.com/climatefeedback/2007/06/predictions_of_climate.html

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Global Climate Alarmism and Historical Precedents by M.I.T. Prof Richard Lindzen

“Global climate alarmism has been costly to society, and it has the potential to be vastly more costly. It has also been damaging to science, as scientists adjust both data and even theory to accommodate politically correct positions.  How can one escape from the Iron Triangle when it produces flawed science that is immensely influential and is forcing catastrophic public policy?…”

“There are past examples. In the U.S. in the early 20th century, the eugenics movement had coopted the science of human genetics and was driving a political agenda. The movement achieved the Immigration Restriction Act of 1923, as well as forced sterilization laws in several states. The movement became discredited by Nazi atrocities, but the American consequences survived well into the 1960s.  Global Warming has become a religion. A surprisingly large number of people seem to have concluded that all that gives meaning to their lives is the belief that they are saving the planet by paying attention to their carbon footprint.”

“…This is not to diminish the importance of the efforts of some scientists to point out the internal inconsistencies. However, this is a polarized world where people are permitted to believe whatever they wish to believe. The mechanisms whereby such belief structures are altered are not well understood, but the evidence from previous cases offers hope that such peculiar belief structures do collapse.”

Richard S. Lindzen, Ph.D., was professor of atmospheric sciences, emeritus, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Contact: rlindzen@mit.edu.  http://www.jpands.org/vol18no3/lindzen.pdf

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The rapidly diminishing climate effects of increasing atmospheric CO2

Ed Hoskins gives a solid presentation (at the link below), with good graphs, on the logarithmic relationship between CO2 concentrations and its greenhouse effect. One must be aware that, in general, the experimental research was done with dry air, which does not include the dominant greenhouse gas, water vapor. High humidity of a particular region will reduce the influence of CO2 for that region. The vexing problems are feedbacks. The alarmists, and their models, predict net positive feedbacks. The main assertion is that a warming from CO2 will be amplified by an increase in water vapor. The skeptics assert that the net feedbacks are negative – increase in cloud cover. The feedback issue makes it difficult to determine the temperature effect of a doubling of CO2. With the current trend of no significant warming or cooling as CO2 emissions are increasing, nature seems to be supporting the skeptics. ~ summary by Ken Haapala, Exec Director at Science and Environment Policy Project.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/10/the-diminishing-influence-of-increasing-carbon-dioxide-on-temperature/

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Regarding Sandy Hook

Family and friends, in this 40 minute radio interview a very reputable man asks some VERY disturbing questions about the shootings at the Sandy Hook elementary school. You will want to follow this unfolding story.   

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6roDPt1WYYY

Before you listen to the interview, check out this man’s impressive resume.  

http://www.sandyhookjustice.com/information.html

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Marching backwards in the wrong direction to the wrong drummer boy

Both of my current Senators are marching backwards in the wrong direction to the wrong drummer boy. As an example, this letter could have been in George Orwell’s “1984” but it’s not 1984’s “Newspeak” … it’s 2014 and it’s blatant support of genocide by denying funding for electric power plants in third world countries where coal is abundant.

EDWARD J. MARKEY
MASSACHUSETTS

                                                                    

218 RUSSELL SENATE OFFICE BUILDING
WASHINGTON, DC 20510
(202) 224-2742

                                        

United States Senate

 

August 15, 2014

 

Dear Clare:

Thank you for contacting me about the reauthorization of the Export-Import Bank. It was good to hear from you about this issue.

As you know, the Congress is debating whether to renew Export-Import Bank of the United States, the charter of which is set to expire on September 30 of this year. I am working with my colleagues in the Senate toward common sense legislation that will reauthorize the Export-Import Bank, protect Massachusetts small businesses and create the jobs needed to grow our nation’s economy that helps and drive commerce. 

The Export-Import Bank is an independent federal government agency and the official export credit agency (ECA) of the United States. Originally authorized under an executive order by President Franklin Delano Roosevelt in 1934, the bank is key to growing our manufacturing sector and increasing the number of good, middle-class jobs. The Export-Import Bank helps finance Massachusetts and American exports of manufactured goods and services when alternative financing is not available. Many other countries, including China and Germany, have similar agencies that are directly backed by their governments, and we need the Export-Import Bank to ensure that U.S. companies are able to complete with their foreign competitors on an even playing field.  The main programs are direct loans, loan guarantees, working capital finance, and export credit insurance. 

The Export-Import operates under a renewable charter, which was last renewed by Congress in 2012. Because the bank supports American business and grows American jobs, I believe the Export-Import Bank should be reauthorized.

However, it is critical that the reauthorization of the Export-Import Bank does not have any serious negative consequences for the American public or the environment. As you know, Senator Manchin of West Virginia has circulated draft legislation that includes financing provisions that would roll back the Export-Import Bank’s new policy aimed at limiting funding for carbon pollution emitting overseas coal power plants. I share your concern over these provisions and will continue to monitor this situation. 

Global climate change presents one of the gravest threats to our planet’s health, and to our Commonwealth’s and the nation’s economy, national security, and public health. President Obama and EPA Administrator McCarthy put forward a historic proposal to cut heat-trapping carbon pollution from America’s existing power plants. This plan will help create jobs and cut the pollution that threatens our health, our environment, and our future. Massachusetts is already a leader in developing and deploying clean energy technology and these new rules will increase the demand for businesses in our state.  I look forward to working with the administration and my colleagues to protect the President’s authority to reduce carbon pollution and take further action on climate change. 

Thank you again for contacting me about this issue. If I can be of further assistance, please do not hesitate to contact me.  To sign up for my newsletter, visit http://www.markey.senate.gov/newsletter. You can also follow me on FacebookTwitter, and YouTube.  

 

Sincerely,

Signature

Edward J. Markey
United States Senator

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Re-Post: “…Why the climate catastrophe is not happening.”

This is an exceptionally good and thorough article, broader in scope than one might expect from the title : “Surprising facts about climate change in Portugal: Why the climate catastrophe is not happening.”      http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/05/surprising-facts-about-climate-change-in-portugal-why-the-climate-catastrophe-is-not-happening/

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Re-post: Climate Change Unreason. Policies invoked in its name are grossly immoral.

Nigel Lawson, former British Chancellor of Exchequer: “It is a cruel irony that, while it was science which, more than anything else, was able by its great achievements, to establish the age of reason, it is all too many climate scientists and their hangers-on who have become the high priests of a new age of unreason…But what moves me most is that the policies invoked in its name are grossly immoral. . .  [T]he greatest immorality of all concerns the masses in the developing world.”

http://online.wsj.com/articles/notable-quotable-climate-change-unreason-1407097679

Finally, some common sense from a political leader.

We are living through a giant fraud, probably approaching $1 trillion, which is being perpetrated by the United Nations, the US and 140+ other governments, and many NGOs, many academics and many corporations and specifically the press.  Undernourishment DECREASED during the same period these organizations and individuals claimed there was a dangerous global warming trend. These nourishment data were compiled by the UN’s FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization) but these data contradict the claim that global warming harms humans and especially harms third world countries where these organizations and individuals wish to redistribute the wealth of developed countries.

“[UN IPCC Working Group 2] WG2 Misleads on Undernourishment Trend”
“Why didn’t IPCC clearly report the long-term decline in undernourishment during a period of [which UN IPCC claims] temperature increase? This is information that is relevant to policy-makers.” http://climateaudit.org/2014/08/07/wg2-misleads-on-undernourishment-trend/#more-19456

 

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Re-post of WSJ online comment re: EPA’s climate models

“Environmental modeling involves three basic steps. First, a theoretical model is developed. Next, the model is calibrated by comparing the theoretical model results with actual data and adjusting model coefficients to fit the data. Finally, the model is verified by comparing the results of the calibrated model with data under new conditions. If the model cannot be verified, then it wouldn’t be suitable for making policy decisions, and it would be necessary to further revise the model to assure it can predict future conditions.

Theoretical climate models have predicted that global temperatures would rise as a result of increases in CO2 levels. However, contrary to the model predictions, actual global temperatures haven’t risen significantly in the past 10-15 years despite continued increases in CO2 emissions. Therefore, the model coefficients and assumptions need to be adjusted to verify the model before it should be used to make major policy decisions. Claiming that the actual global temperature data of the past 10-15 years are anomalous, but that the model is right, manipulates the results to achieve predetermined outcomes. The climate modelers are saying: “Don’t confuse me with the facts.”

Unless climate models are verified with actual data, there is no assurance that expenditures to reduce CO2 emissions would result in any environmental benefit.”

Robert J. Foxen, P.E., former chair of U.S. Environmental Protection Agency task force responsible for deciding on construction grant funding.
CEO, Global Common, LLC, Garden City, N.Y.http://online.wsj.com/articles/computer-modeling-and-the-objectivity-of-the-process-letters-to-the-editor-1405884034

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Why Wind Energy is a Bad Idea

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Please share 800 examples of Obama lying, lawbreaking, corruption, cronyism, etc.

“I ask you to please show this list to as many people as possible – and especially, to please show it to as many Obama supporters as possible. Sunshine really is the best disinfectant. I can’t stop Obama from doing any of these horrible things, but I can tell people about what he is doing. So please share this list with others on Facebook, Twitter, etc. Thank you. ” The short link for this is http://tinyurl.com/ku9vxug

Obama supporters will go hysterical over this well sourced list of 800 examples of his lying, lawbreaking, corruption, cronyism, etc.

By Dan from Squirrel Hill

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