budbromley

Maturity diagram showing net change since 17 May 2008 in the global monthly surface air temperature record prepared by the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), USA [part of NOAA]. The net result of the adjustments made are becoming substantial, and adjustments since May 2006 occasionally exceeds 0.1^oC. Before 1945 global temperatures are generally changed toward lower values, and toward higher values after 1945, resulting in a more pronounced 20th century warming (about 0.15^oC) compared to the NCDC temperature record published in May 2008.

http://www.climate4you.com/

“Let me say it as simply as I can. Transparency and the rule of law will be the touchstones of this presidency.”- Obama at his swearing-in ceremony, January 21, 2009 (1)

This is a problem. Thanks to Obama voters, we are moving rapidly to the politburo stage of socialism.

The following is by Luke Rosiak (link below with video).

Headline:  Obama Admin Deletes Conflict Of Interest Disclosures For Top Bureaucrats [VIDEO] (2)

Conflict of interest disclosure reports filed by top federal officials were removed from public view by the Obama administration in recent months, a move that government transparency and accountability advocates condemn as a major setback.

The Office of Government Ethics (OGE) reports are the primary tool that watchdog journalists, political activists and interested voters can use to guard against presidential appointees using their positions to enrich themselves or others.

For years, the OGE website featured a sortable, searchable list of over 1,000 government appointees, including their names, agencies and titles, and flagging new ones. By clicking on a name, users could easily access multiple disclosures for the appointee, including yearly financial accounting, stock ownership and a letter detailing any agreements surrounding conflicts, such as issues when the individual promises to recuse himself.

By January, the list was inexplicably removed, leaving only a search box. That action severely reduced the chance of officials’ finances being scrutinized because it became necessary to know the name of a person and have a reason to want to look up that individual, as opposed to, for example, looking for listings from an agency of interest.

Now, even that capability is gone, along with almost all references to actually seeing the disclosures. Thousands of PDFs have also been deleted, leaving dead links.

OGE referred press calls to Seth Jaffe, who didn’t respond to The Daily Caller News Foundation’s query placed on Monday.

“This is a problem,” Daniel Schuman, a policy analyst at the liberal group Demand Progress, told TheDCNF. “They should put it back. It’s very odd there’s no explanation.”

John Wonderlich, head of the transparency group the Sunlight Foundation, called it a “big step backward,” saying “the administration should be demonstrating how digital disclosure should strengthen our accountability systems, and creating barriers to access is the opposite of progress.”

Previously, Sunlight had praised President Barack Obama, who had pledged at the outset of his first term in the Oval Office to have the “most transparent [administration] in history.”

The OGE documents also include “ethics waivers,” documents that showed despite Obama making pledges such as not to appoint former lobbyists, this was frequently done.

Thanks to the disclosures, the public recently learned that Secretary of State John Kerry has millions invested in offshore tax havens. The disclosures also showed that Medicare chief Andy Slavitt took actions relating to firms he had financial ties to, and that he got a waiver to do so.

OGE’s role as an independent entity is important in serving as a check against self-interested departments. The disclosures showed that the Medicare agency lied about Slavitt getting preferential tax treatment.

They also showed a former union lawyer who was appointed to head a labor relations agency steered lucrative contracts to his old law firm despite signing an agreement saying he “will not participate personally and substantially in any particular matter involving specific parties in which Bredhoff & Kaiser is a party or represents a party unless I am first authorized.”

The site’s menu now says nothing about viewing disclosures, but buried several clicks in to a section called “Media” allows you to fill out a form requiring highly specific information about a person and the disclosure you are requesting.

When TheDCNF called to inquire about the change, the form had to be sent in via snail mail. Soon after the call, they added a cumbersome online form that was submitted to an employee who supposedly would send the documents several days later.

TheDCNF filled out the form and several days later, got rejected without explanation.

“The records that you requested are not maintained in the Office of Government Ethics. Please contact the employing agency/agencies for these records,” Irene Houston wrote.

(1) http://www.fas.org/sgp/news/2009/01/obama012109.html

(2)  http://dailycaller.com/2016/05/25/obamas-admin-deletes-conflict-of-interest-disclosures-for-top-bureaucrats/#ixzz49suysMJz

“Observations of the global energy budget and their implications” (9)

“The rate of global mean warming has been lower over the past decade than previously. It has been argued (1–5) that this observation might require a downwards revision of estimates of equilibrium climate sensitivity, that is, the long-term (equilibrium) temperature response to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentrations.”

“Using up-to-date data on radiative forcing, global mean surface temperature and total heat uptake in the Earth system, we find that the global energy budget (6) implies a range of values for the equilibrium climate sensitivity that is in agreement with earlier estimates, within the limits of uncertainty.”

“The energy budget of the most recent decade does, however, indicate a lower range of values for the more policy-relevant (7) transient climate response (the temperature increase at the point of doubling of the atmospheric CO2 concentration following a linear ramp of increasing greenhouse gas forcing) than the range obtained by either analysing the energy budget of earlier decades or current climate model simulations. (8)

“Our results match those of other observation-based studies (15) and suggest that the TCRs of some of the models in the CMIP5 ensemble (10) with the strongest climate response to increases in atmospheric CO2 levels may be inconsistent with recent observations —“

They explain, “The best estimate of TCR [transient climate response] based on OBSERVATION of the most recent decade is 1.3 °C (0.9–2.0 °C;) This is lower than estimates derived from data of the 1990s 1.6 °C (0.9–3.1 °C); or for the 1970–2009 period as a whole 1.4 °C (0.7–2.5 °C)”

But here is the key:  “within the limits of uncertainty.”  Note that the limits of uncertainty are huge, plus or minus 50% of their best estimate of the MEASURED average temperature.  They are betting our money on a coin toss using a formula that is not good at predicting coin tosses.

They are acknowledging that climate models predicted temperatures that were too high. A doubling of CO2 does not produce as much temperature increase as they expected, even though they gave themselves a huge margin of error.  So they want to try again.  They are addicted.

By analogy, the government bet over $100 billion of our money that the Dow Jones stock market average would finish at 14,000.  It didn’t.  But within the limits of uncertainty the government stock brokers gave themselves, the Dow could have been at 7,000 or at 25,000 and the government would still consider that the bet with our money was reasonable.  We lost our $100 billion and now they will lower their best estimate and bet some more of our money.  Think gambling addiction.

References

1. Aldrin, M. et al. Environmetrics 23, 253–271 (2012).
2. Lewis, N. J. Clim. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00473.1 (2013).
3. Ring, M. J., Lindner, D., Cross, E. F. & Schlesinger, M. E. Atmos. Clim. Sci. 2, 401–415 (2012).
4. Stott, P. A., Good, P., Jones, G., Gillett, N. P. & Hawkins, E. Environ. Res. Lett. 8, 014024 (2013).
5. Schwartz, S. E. Surv. Geophys. 33, 745–777 (2012).
6. Gregory, J. M. & Forster, P. M. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 113, D23105 (2008).
7. Allen, M. R. & Frame, D. J. Science 318, 582–583 (2007).
8. Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J. & Meehl, G. A. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 93, 485–498 (2011).
9. http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/76064/7/ngeo1836%281%29_with_coversheet.pdf
10. 10. Forster, P. M. et al. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 118, 1–12 (2013)
11. Gillett, N. P., Arora, V. K., Matthews, D. & Allen, M. R. J. Clim. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00476.1 (2013).

In the technical journal article on climate models at the link below, “Causes of the Global Warming Observed since the 19th Century,” these orthodox climate modelers acknowledge the current cooling period as well as the cooling period that occurred from 1945 to 1976.  In instances when their models predict warming based input of empirical measurements as known values in their math functions and eliminating all the other variables they think they know, then they claim warming is due to human-produced greenhouse gas.  But, in other instances when their models don’t predict warming temperature, they conclude that the cooling is due to natural internal variabilities which offset their forcing parameter.

Bottom line, they use the forcing parameter as a plug in their models.  A plug is an assumption, not proof.  It plugs in a value or a math function that makes the model produce the expected answer when all the other variables are believed to be known.  Then the climate modelers conclude that their models agree with measured temperatures based on their assumptions.  Use of a plug along with elimination of other variables is a logically valid tool to aid in development of a mathematical model.  But, until the model containing the plug works under all conditions, it is only a hypothesis…that is, speculation.

They conclude it is going to rain tomorrow unless it does not rain.

The simple way to understand the invalidity of climate models is that they failed to predict the current, ongoing, statistically flat period which has so far lasted 18 years.  Instead of predicting statistically flat temperature, their climate models predicted rapidly rising temperatures which they claimed would result in no ice at the poles, more hurricanes, the end of polar bears, mass starvation, rapid rise of sea level, etc among a seemingly never ending list of catastrophes intended to scare people into giving them more money.

If they had a model that worked under all conditions, then there would be only one model, not many models.  If they had a model that worked, Obama, De Caprio, Gore, Kerry, and a small group of climate conference parasites would not be flying around in jets spewing greenhouse gases.  In this case, the model does not fit, so we must convict.

So far, there is only one model that closely tracks actual temperatures.  That model is by the Russians.  The Russian model so far has only been used for a few conditions.  The Russian model is the dashed magenta line that touches the actual temperature in 2015.  It is worthwhile to remind readers that the Russians have declined to support the UN global climate agenda.

http://file.scirp.org/pdf/ACS20120400002_59142760.pdf

Memory leak

“Fixed memory leak that occurs when opening a portable document format (PDF) form multiple times.” ~ Microsoft. (1)

Gee, I wonder who would want to do that?

References:

1. http://windows.microsoft.com/en-us/windows-10/update-history-windows-10

Nature does some crazy stuff, Ted. I guess you saw the reported research in Tel Aviv on the nematode? They have figured out the epigenomic pathways for transgenerational memory in the nemotode, one the best known genomes and a model system. “Nematodes are the most numerous multicellular animals on earth. A handful of soil will contain thousands of the microscopic worms, many of them parasites of insects, plants or animals.” (1) Your basic roundworm. Photogenic? I don’t think so. But just imagine that you can teach one something and it can be remembered and acted on three or four generations later, and we don’t yet know how long. I have mentioned it in my blog before.  This means that the rate of growth of knowledge will go hyperbolic.  This means that massive growth of knowledge and building momentum will drive an entirely different kind of civilization than we have today.

Nature does some crazy stuff  and it’s good news.

1. http://nematode.unl.edu/what-is-a-nematode.htm

“The probable effect of the increasing global atmospheric CO2 concentration on agricultural yields was evaluated…the analysis showed that yields probably will increase by 33% (with a 99.9% confidence interval from 24 to 43%) with a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration.”

Carbon Dioxide and Agricultural Yield: An Assemblage and Analysis of 430 Prior Observations, AGRONOMY JOURNAL, VOL. 75, SEPTEMBER-OCTOBER 1983, by B. A. Kimball, Soil scientist, U. S. Water Conservation Laboratory, Phoenix, AZ. http://naldc.nal.usda.gov/download/53689/PDF

Mr. Trump, tear down THIS wall: repeal and replace the Administrative Procedures Act.  Claw back our rights from the police state.

The larger issue of central government control over the states, control over free associations of people such as corporations and churches, control over individuals was decided by the Supreme Court long ago.  We mere citizens are to be administered.

The states, associations and people can be coerced, intimidated, robbed, investigated and otherwise forced to obey not only President Obama through the Department of Education on the issue of transgenders in bathrooms but also any and all U.S. government agencies (e.g. Department of Education, EPA, BLM, FBI, IRS, FDA, NSA, ATF, DOJ etc.) without Constitutional due process if that agency is acting reasonably on its mission as broadly defined by the law, subject only to the demonstrably ineffectual administrative protections of the Administrative Procedures Act of 1946 (APA).  No warrant needed. No grand jury needed.  No jury trial.  Unwarranted surveillance and search and seizure.  No congressional or state approval needed. A real example of Orwellian “doublespeak,” APA includes the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) and the Privacy Act.

The SCOTUS case was U.S. vs Morton Salt in the 1950s and the legal principle used against Morton has been re-affirmed in subsequent cases.  It is considered settled law.  Attorney General Claude Walker of the U.S. Virgin Islands supported by a conspiracy of other attorney generals and Al Gore recently subpoenaed ExxonMobil for a fishing expedition requiring ExxonMobil to produce decades of ExxonMobil files without involvement of a judge, a court order, a grand jury or other due process.

Do you fantasize that the government will not come after you because you are protected by the Constitution and the Bill of Rights?  If big brother is going after ExxonMobil, they will come after you and me or any Congressman or judge whenever they want.

The U.S. vs Morton Salt case relies on the APA, which allows agencies themselves to write their own rules without further involvement by Congress.  Agencies can and do expand their scope and define regulations without congressional approval so long as the action is reasonably within the broadly written mission of the agency.  The agency need not even be created by law or an act of Congress.  It could have been created by Executive Order, such as President Nixon created the EPA.  The APA relieves Congress of their responsibilities and duties under the Constitution, or so the courts and Congress have decided.  They have been assimilated.

Thus, regulating CO2, a harmless trace gas necessary to life, is considered by SCOTUS, presidents, EPA etc to be within the regulatory purview of EPA if the head of EPA determines so. And so the chief administrator of the EPA made her “Final Determination” and the pumpkin turned into a nightmare supporting global government and loss of your sovereignty and rights.  The President through the Department of Education can coerce and intimidate schools to allow confused boys into girl’s bathrooms, locker rooms and gym classes.  The IRS targets conservatives and resistance in Congress was futile.  The issue is now considered administrative law …i.e. not an issue of rights or constitutional law.  You will be assimilated.

The transgender bathroom issue is part of a continuing agenda by so-called progressives to obscure the ability of people to decide right from wrong, good from bad. It is a brainwashing technique which results in the well known Stockholm syndrome. The victims become compliant and accepting of the wrongs being done to them, unlikely to resist authority and willing to do any act they are told.  President Obama is Ramsey Bolton destroying the will of Theon Greyjoy, heir to the Iron Throne, in George R. R. Martin’s great fiction The Game of Thrones.

This strategy, which none dare call treason, has been underway for decades and it has already succeeded in assimilating tens of millions of Americans and most all of Europe. The late, self-professed liberal, gay, philosophy professor Allan Bloom describes in his 1987 book ‘The Closing of the American Mind’ “how higher education has failed democracy and impoverished the souls of today’s students.” He focuses on the “openness” and tolerance explicit in the moral relativism taught from K-12 to university as leading paradoxically to the “closing” referenced in the book’s title. “Openness,” tolerating the intolerable, and moral relativism undermine critical thinking and eliminate the “point of view” that defines cultures and morality.  You will be assimilated.

The fix would be for Congress to repeal and replace the Administrative Procedures Act (APA) and review all laws and regulations that rely on it.  No Democrat or RINO will dare repeal APA.  No conservative will propose repeal because the agencies will be unleashed against them.  The APA is the basis for the excessive, rapid growth in size, budget and regulatory control of federal agencies…THE foundation for the collectivist nanny state.

If you hope for change from a President Trump in addition to stopping the invasions and amnesty of illegal aliens, muslims and released felons, then push Trump for repeal of the Administrative Procedures Act. That would go a long way toward realigning Congress to its constitutional duties and re-empowering Congress to rebalance the relative powers of the branches of federal government.

References:

https://epic.org/open_gov/Administrative-Procedure-Act.html