By now everyone knows that the global economy was suppressed in 2020 by Covid-19 policies. One result is human-produced carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions were reduced by estimates of 25% to 30% because use of fossil fuels for travel, energy for businesses, etc was dramatically reduced during 2020. If human CO2 is a statistically significant contributor to total CO2 atmospheric concentration, then we should be able to observe a significant decline in total CO2 concentration during 2020. Instead total CO2 has increased.
Since the late 1970’s, net global atmospheric CO2 concentration has been monitored by a network of labs coordinated by the Keeling lab run by NOAA on Mauna Loa on the Big Island of Hawaii (1). These data are publicly available in many formats which anyone can download and analyze. The graphic above is directly from their website with no modifications. Note there has been a continuation of the ongoing slope, the slowly increasing CO2 trend, between February 2020 and February 2021.
“A necessary condition for the theory of anthropogenic global warming is that there should be a close correlation between annual fluctuations of atmospheric CO2 and the annual rate of anthropogenic CO2 emissions.” (2) If human-produced CO2 is a statistically significant contributor to the trend of net global average CO2 concentration, then we must see a reversal of slope (change in sign) and decline in this graph and in the data. These data visually demonstrate scientific and statistical findings made years ago by many scientists (e.g. Salby, Munshi, Spencer) that the statistical signal of human produced CO2, primarily from burning fossil fuels, is not detectable – too small to reach statistical significance, too small to be detected with precision above the noise/variability in the trend of net global CO2 concentration. Other natural sources and phenomena adequately explain this many-decades-long trend in global CO2 concentration.(3)(4)
The continuing addition of fossil fuel CO2 emissions must be detectable (correlated with) a change in the slope of net global atmospheric CO2 concentration. The Mauna Loa data is sensitive enough to easily see the annual spring-summer seasonal changes due to increased photosynthesis, visible here as the sharks teeth in the trend line. This clearly indicates that the data are good enough to see changes in trend. Emissions from fossil fuels are clearly less that these seasonal CO2 changes due to photosynthesis. Yet, the UN IPCC, your government and its agencies and many others insist that fossil fuel produced CO2 emissions are the primary cause of the rising CO2 trend, which they claim is dangerous and human-caused and they trot out continuous catastrophes, fear mongering propaganda, scared children, the need for carbon taxes and the elimination of all fossil fuels. In these NOAA data and many other studies, we observe fossil fuel emissions are insignificant, trivially much too small to significantly affect climate. The theory of human-produced global warming (AGW) is falsified according to the scientific method.
A correlation does not prove that a cause and effect relationship exists. However, if a cause is theorized, and burning fossil fuels is claimed to be the cause, then there must be a correlation, or else the theory is falsified. The theory of anthropogenic global warming is again falsified by nature itself.
No correlation is detected, no perturbation of trend is detected, no change in second derivative is found to correlate with the known decline in fossil fuel emissions which occurred during 2020. This should be detectable in annual data. All of the CO2 on the planet moves into the atmosphere and back into the oceans, plants and soils, cycling more than once per year. The trend in CO2 slope continues through 2020 into 2021 when a correlation would have projected a change in sign of slope if not a steep decline. But instead CO2 increases. Therefore, CO2 emissions from burning fossil fuels is not statistically significant with regard to the ongoing trend in net global CO2 concentration, nor with any climate variable which has a significant co-dependence with net global CO2 concentration, for example average global temperature, or “greening of the planet,” or radiative emissions from greenhouse gases, or climate forcing.
This is not a new finding or even surprising to those with open minds who have studied this for years. But this science is not reported in the news, nor in government publications, UN, academic labs funded by government and NGOs, Wall Street banks, The World Bank, NASA, NOAA, EPA, giant corporations, or globalist elites. There is a massive global fraud in play right in front of us. I have no doubt that these people will find a way to “adjust” these data to support their agenda.
(1) Graphic: https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/
(2) Munshi, Jamal. PhD. Professor, statistics. 2015. https://www.academia.edu/14863648/RESPONSIVENESS_OF_ATMOSPHERIC_CO2_TO_ANTHROPOGENIC_EMISSIONS_A_NOTE
(3) Spencer, Roy. PhD. climatology. https://wattsupwiththat.wpcomstaging.com/2008/01/25/double-whammy-friday-roy-spencer-on-how-oceans-are-driving-co2/
(4) Salby, Murry. PhD. Professor, atmospheric physics. https://youtu.be/b1cGqL9y548