Good news: The US death rate from corona virus continues to flatten. After about 1 month the 7 day death rate has declined from 620% to 26% growth rate. About 48% of the deaths are in New York and New Jersey. This week Hawaii and possibly other states declared the rate “flat” or zero growth. The curve is visibly flattening. This rate includes all co-morbidities.
Bad news: The new CDC guidelines have further complicated and confounded the reporting of the statistics. The new CDC guidelines now include PROBABLE deaths and NO requirement that a laboratory confirm presence of Covid-19 in the patient. From my point of view, the data are now useless. This will be the last of these reports.
“A confirmed case or death is defined by meeting confirmatory laboratory evidence for COVID-19. [The confirmed case is no longer required.] A probable case or death is defined by i) meeting clinical criteria AND epidemiologic evidence with no confirmatory laboratory testing performed for COVID-19; or ii) meeting presumptive laboratory evidence AND either clinical criteria OR epidemiologic evidence; or iii) meeting vital records criteria with no confirmatory laboratory testing performed for COVID19”
[definition source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/us-data/]