- “Climate change is due to natural cycles”
- Diversity is not a strength
- Sanctuary jurisdictions are self-destructive, illegal behavior
- New York City’s insane, corrupt but completely predictable behavior
- Celebrate the benefits of CO2
- The architect of the refugee invasion of Europe is dead
- Manufacturing climate consensus
- So-called “Progressives” are regressive
- 8th Annual Waimea Ocean Film Festival
- The moral case for fossil fuels (reblog)
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In 1957 Roger Revelle, (Al Gore’s professor in what may have been Gore’s only science class) one of the early founding scientists at University of California San Diego, The Scripps Oceanographic Institute and the Mauna Loa Observatory along with Hans Suess authored an article (1) which associated human gas emissions with warming and suggested greenhouse gases could cause “global warming” over time. In 1988 NASA’s James Hansen et al authored an article introducing a theoretical “CO2 forcing parameter” and forecasting temperature increases three standard deviations above normal would be seen the 1990’s.(2) The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel Program on Climate Change (IPCC) claims that CO2 is causing rapid warming based on the CO2 forcing parameter.(3) The U.S. EPA has issued a Final Endangerment Finding that CO2 is dangerous, referencing the IPCC, and the U.S. Supreme Court has ruled that EPA is required by law (i.e. The Clean Air Act) to regulate if they find endangerment.
In most sciences, sets of data are analyzed using standard statistical methods including “predictive power,” “sensitivity,” “significance,” “confidence” and “credibility;” each of the foregoing words is an established statistical tool used by scientists, not rhetorical hype.
Associations between and among data sets are analyzed using standard statistical tests for correlations and cross correlations. A correlation between two variables is not proof of a causal relationship, however if there is in fact a causal relationship between the two variables, then there must be strong positive correlation. A negative, or inverse, correlation is strong evidence against a cause/effect linkage. Cause must occur prior to effects.
Empirical falsification is a premise of logic underlying all science. If a theorized data association is falsifiable by empirical (i.e. real-world) evidence, then the proposed hypothesis is false until the theorists produce a credible explanation for this evidence. For the global warming theory to be true, AGW proponents must produce credible evidence to support their theory and they must have credible explanations for all evidence that would falsify their theory. Proponents have already spent tens of billions of dollars in their unsuccessful effort to produce credible evidence of AGW. (4)
The cause must occur before the effect. Global warming proponents claim that, due to a theorized CO2 forcing parameter, increasing CO2 concentration in the atmosphere causes significant warming, but they have produced no empirical evidence. On the other hand, standard statistical methods applied to data from ice core samples from two locations in Antarctica (Vostok and Dome C (5,6)) clearly show CO2 trends are more strongly correlated with temperature trends that occurred in the past, that is, prior to the CO2 trend. In other words, warming trends occur before CO2 increasing trends. If CO2 is the cause of warming as AGW proponents claim, then increasing CO2 trends must be strongly correlated with warming trends occurring AFTER the CO2 trend; however, this is not the case. Therefore, AGW theory is empirically falsified.
In 2001 Manfred Mudelsee pointed to this fundamental problem in the global warming hypothesis in his peer reviewed journal article regarding measurements in the Vostok, Antarctica ice core samples. The preface to his article states, “Over the full 420 ka (420 thousand years) of the Vostok record CO2 variations lag behind atmospheric temperature changes in the Southern Hemisphere by 1.3 ka +/- 1.0 ka (1,300 years plus or minus 1,000 years.)”(5) All of the claims that the data or science supports man made warming are based on inaccurate, incomplete and misleading analysis.
Another falsification of AGW: AGW theory proposes that a trend of increasing CO2 concentration forces an increasing trend in temperature through complicated multi-parameter feedback mechanisms. For this to be true, then CO2 concentration cannot be increasing while temperature is decreasing. Also, CO2 cannot be decreasing while temperature is increasing. In other words, CO2 cannot force both warming and cooling. However, both of these negative correlations occur repeatedly in the natural history record, as shown in the graph immediately below. Therefore, again, AGW theory is empirically falsified.
Proponents point to complicated theoretical climate models with many areas of uncertainty to justify their theory. But their climate models are hypothetical and they perform poorly; they do not meet statistical tests for scientific credibility.(6)
“Climate analysis which emphasizes AGW, assumes that when seasonal variability is integrated across the Earth’s surface and over a year, it averages out and thus can be ignored. This leads to the use of anomaly analysis, where monthly data is compared to independent long term monthly averages so that seasonal variability is removed from the results. The rationalization for doing this is that the expected trends are a tiny fraction of the monthly variability and they would be impossible to discern otherwise. See the section titled ‘Anomalies and Absolute Temperatures’ in (8) for James Hansen’s somewhat obtuse explanation. The side effect of this approach is that crucial behaviors of the climate system are obscured, leading to explanations for climate change that are consistent with the original flawed assumption and not the actual behavior. This is at the root of why so many are so mislead about what causes climate change.”(7)
AGW proponents find themselves in trouble…caught in scientific fraud… and their careers are dependent on continuing government and NGO grant money to study their failed AGW theory. Real-world evidence, just two examples among many are shown here, clearly falsifies AGW theory using only competently applied standard statistical techniques and without the use of theoretical modeling.
The diagram below shows the HadCRUT3 monthly global surface temperature estimate and the monthly atmospheric CO2 content according to the Mauna Loa [CO2] Observatory, on the Big Island of Hawaii. The Mauna Loa data series begins in March 1958. The dotted grey line indicates the approximate linear temperature trend, and the boxes in the lower part of the diagram indicate the relation between atmospheric CO2 and global temperature, negative or positive. The annotation “IPCC” indicate the establishment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in 1988. Last month shown: September 2009. Last diagram update: 6 November 2009. Note that the data are from sources frequently used and cited by IPCC, the EPA and AGW proponents, not “skeptic” references. HadCRUT is the UK government’s climate research unit. As shown by the dotted grey line, the temperature trend declines during the 1950s into the 1970’s, meanwhile the red line (CO2 trend) increases. Around 2000, the temperature trend again declines while CO2 trend is increasing. These are examples of real world data falsifying the theory of human-caused global warming.
(1) Revelle, R. and Suess, H. E. (1957) Tellus 9, 18-27.
(2) Hansen, J., I. Fung, A. Lacis, D. Rind, S. Lebedeff, R. Ruedy, G. Russell, and P. Stone(1988), Global Climate Changes as Forecast by Goddard Institute for Space Studies Three-Dimensional Model, J. Geophys. Res., 93(D8), 9341–9364.
Forster, P., V. Ramaswamy, P. Artaxo, T. Berntsen, R. Betts, D.W. Fahey, J. Haywood, J. Lean, D.C. Lowe, G. Myhre, J. Nganga, R. Prinn, G. Raga, M. Schulz and R. Van Dorland, 2007: Changes in Atmospheric Constituents and in Radiative Forcing. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on ClimateChange [Solomon, S., D.
Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M.Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. Hegerl, G.C., F. W. Zwiers, P. Braconnot, N.P. Gillett, Y. Luo, J.A. Marengo Orsini, N. Nicholls, J.E. Penner and P.A. Stott, 2007: Understanding and Attributing Climate Change. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L.Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY,USA.
(4) CLIMATE MONEY, The Climate Industry: $79 billion so far – trillions to come Joanne Nova, Science & Public Policy Institute.
(5) Mudelsee, M. 2001 The phase relations among atmospheric CO2
content, temperature & global ice volume over the past 420 ka. Quaternary Science Reviews 20, 583-589.
(6) KOUTSOYIANNIS, A. EFSTRATIADIS, N. MAMASSIS & A. CHRISTOFIDES “On the credibility of climate predictions” Hydrological Sciences–Journal–des Sciences Hydrologiques, 53 (2008).
(7) http://www.palisad.com/co2/eb/eb.html George White
(8) GISS (Goddard Institute for Space Studies) Surface Temperature Analysis, Anomalies and Absolute Temperatures. http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/
According to Al Gore, the UN, Obama, academics on grants, NGO’s and green cronies, global warming due to human-produced CO2 produces death and destruction. This series of graphs indicates otherwise.
Despite all the fear-mongering over the condition of our planet as well as the human condition, there is encouraging news. Dina D. Pomeranz writes on Twitter: (h/t to Steve McIntyre)
This figure is quite amazing. Never ever before has the world changed as it has from 1990 to 2015.
There’s a lot of data to explore in this website: https://ourworldindata.org/
I found this chart particularly interesting, especially the nuclear part.
On Thursday, the United Nations voted 128-9 to condemn President Trump’s decision to move the U.S. embassy in Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, as well as his declaration of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel. Following the vote, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu released a video thanking the United States, as well as the nations that stood behind Israel:
“Israel completely rejects this preposterous resolution. Jerusalem is our capital – always was, always will be. But I do appreciate the fact that a growing number of countries refused to participate in this theater of the absurd. So I appreciate that, and especially I want to again express our thanks to President Trump and ambassador Haley for their stalwart defense of Israel and their stalwart defense of the truth.”
The nations that voted alongside the United States to reject the U.N. condemnation are as follows: Israel, Nauru, Micronesia, Togo, Palau, Marshall Islands, Honduras, and Guatemala. 35 nations abstained, including Australia, Canada, and Mexico.
Prior to the vote, U.S. Ambassador to the United Nation Nikki Haley gave a blistering speech before the international body, saying in part:
“The United States will remember this day in which it was singled out for attack in the General Assembly for the very act of exercising our right as a sovereign nation. We will remember it when we are called upon to once again make the world’s largest contribution to the United Nations; and we will remember it when so many countries come calling on us, as they so often do, to pay even more and to use our influence for their benefit.”
“America will put our embassy in Jerusalem. That is what the American people want us to do, and it is the right thing to do. No vote in the United Nations will make any difference on that. But this vote will make a difference on how Americans look at the U.N., and on how we look at countries who disrespect us in the U.N. and this vote will be remembered.”
Thanks to Yuri Tuvin for this summary.
EPA’s Endangerment Finding on CO2 was never peer reviewed according to EPA’s Inspector General in 2011 and EPA did no science. The Obama administration issued the Finding anyway and proceeded to push CO2 regulations and hundreds of millions of dollars of CO2 projects.. This is an ethics violation at least and fraud at worst, especially in view of EPA’s funding of friendly environmental NGOs and their causes. EPA relied on UN IPCC reports, which is illegal, and the UN IPCC did no science. “Obama’s EPA used semantic tricks to avoid rigorous scientific evaluation. Is Trump’s EPA more honest?”
Inspector General’s Report. See pages 15-22 https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-10/documents/20110926-11-p-0702.pdf
All four of Hawaii’s representatives in Congress, two U.S. Senators and two U.S. Representatives, Hawaii’s entire Congressional delegation, were graded F-, the lowest possible grade, on immigration issues!
Despite the fact that immigration is regarded as the primary issue that elected President Trump and a Republican Congress, and despite polls of likely voters such as this one by Rasmussen:
– Only 18% think illegal aliens should be given amnesty; 62% believe legalization should occur only after the border is secured, and 19% are unsure.
– Only 25% think it is even somewhat likely that the federal government will secure the border and prevent illegal immigration with new immigration legislation; 65% consider it unlikely.
– Giving amnesty to millions of illegal aliens who are covered and eligible for the President Obama-created Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program would cost American taxpayers $26 billion, according to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). Under the DREAM Act, Americans would have to pay for at least two million illegal aliens who would become eligible for federal entitlement programs such as Medicaid and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), commonly known as “food stamps.” “In total, CBO and JCT estimate that changes in direct spending and revenues from enacting S. 1615 would increase budget deficits by $25.9 billion over the 2018-2027 period, boosting on-budget deficits by $30.6 billion and decreasing off-budget deficits by $4.7 billion over that period.”
– ‘Chain migration,’ of the families of amnestied illegal immigrants is estimated to cost taxpayers $300 Billion, since 1 immigrant can bring in 120 more, 9.3 Million in a decade. DACA amnestied chain migration would exceed 4 years of U.S. births.
On the issue that a supermajority of Americans regard as the most important issue in the lifetime of living Americans, Hawaii’s delegation is AWOL, contemptuously and destructively pursuing the global elite’s strategy of open borders multi-culturalism which is so obviously failing in Europe and elsewhere. Hawaii’s delegation is missing in action or opposing Americans.
Approximately 400 Saudi and Kuwaiti nationals living in the U.S., many on government scholarships, have joined terrorist groups, mainly ISIS. “The United States has the most Saudi students in the world at 125,000.”
An FBI employee with top security clearance, Daniela Greene, left her job and married an ISIS recruiter in Syria, then returned and negotiated a plea with the FBI. Greene, known as Dani, was married to a US soldier and attended Cameron University in Oklahoma then went to graduate school at Clemson University where she earned a Master’s Degree in history.
“She made a guilty plea to making false statements involving international terrorism and was released in August 2016.” “It’s a stunning embarrassment for the FBI, no doubt about it,” former State Department official John Kirby told CNN for a segment on “AC 360.””
“For her to be able to get in as an American, as a woman, as an FBI employee and to be able to take up residence with a known ISIS leader, that all had to be coordinated,” Mr. Kirby said.
According to CNN’s report (link below), Greene “lied to the FBI about where she was going and warned her new husband he was under investigation, according to federal court records.” She served just 2 years and was released from prison in August, 2016. The timeline of events in the Washington Times link below is painfully revealing.
After 9-11, the FBI and DOD invited Anwar al-Awlaki to a luncheon in the Secretary’s Office of General Counsel. The US Secretary of the Army had suggested that a moderate Muslim be invited to give a talk. Anwar al-Awlaki and separately his son were assassinated years later by an Obama-targeted drone strike.
The FBI and the State Department were on-site in Benghazi, Libya shortly after terrorists killed an American Ambassador, at least 3 other Americans, and an unknown number of other people. Now that the perpetrators of U.S./NATO-led regime change war in Libya are finally out of office, can our public service employees finally tell us what was so important to our nation that President Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had to start a war?
My overriding question is: what is going on at the FBI and State Department?
Reports at these links:
Here’s a little secret we have to say out loud: Women love the sexual interplay they experience with men, and they relish men desiring their beauty.
Women Aren’t Hapless Victims
This Is a Timeless Truth about Human Nature
Attraction Doesn’t Necessarily Exploit a Woman
Both Men and Women Can Be Evil
Let’s Accept Our Power and Use It Responsibly
As a society, we need to encourage both sexes to become comfortable with who they are naturally and all the messy, uncomfortable, stumbling, tantalizing, and glorious twists and turns that come with it. Men and women need to show each other grace and respect as they engage as sexual beings in whatever sphere they interact.
It would help if we assumed the best of each other instead of the worst. Let men love a woman’s beauty, and let a woman delight in a man’s competence and success. This is part of the dance between the masculine and the feminine, and we’d be miserable if we stopped it.
We cannot become practicing dualists, shutting off the physical aspect of ourselves because we might twist it to abuse. We can’t expect people to act like machines with one another, disconnected from their own desires. Our bodies, our sexuality, and our physical longing for one another—all of these essential parts of ourselves—are beautiful. We should cultivate those aspects.
But they are not the most important, and they can’t be acted on unchecked. We are not animals, ruled by appetites. We have deeper aspects of ourselves that need to be nurtured. We have a rational mind and moral conscience to inform us of what is right and what is wrong. We have a spirit that has a beauty all its own, and it’s a beauty that never diminishes, unlike the physical, which passes away too quickly.
Denise C. McAllister is a journalist based in Charlotte, North Carolina, and a senior contributor to The Federalist. Follow her on Twitter @McAllisterDen.
Her full article is at the link below and worth reading:
“Freedom is not a gift from government. Freedom is a gift from God. We believe the Constitution is the greatest political document ever written and we believe in the Constitution as it is written. We are strengthening our own freedom by appointing judges to the bench that will support and defend the Constitution of the United States.” ~ President Donald Trump, speech at Heritage Foundation’s President’s Club.