budbromley

In the several plagues during the centuries following the fall of the Roman Empire through the 18th century, medicine men and women, healers, witches and doctors would bleed people until they died. That is what the collectivists are doing today. The bankers, politicians, government elites and globalists are like those malpractitioners of old, they want to bleed money (i.e. debt) from economies until they die. They learned nothing good from the Great Depression or the Weimar Republic. Massive government welfare programs and draconian government actions further weaken a weak economy and set the stage for hot war.  The collectivist believers in large central government must step back, remove the controls, stop the bailouts and let people do what they need to do.  But they will not do that.  They will continue to bleed the patient, unless the patient wakes up, realizes what is happening to them, and ejects the witch doctors.

There is empirical evidence that social distancing and lockdowns were needed and worked.

(1) This disease, unlike other recent epidemics, has a high percentage of human-to-human airborne transmission from patients with no symptoms. New York City is a perfect example of the disaster that results from that.

(2) Vietnam is an example of lockdown isolation and quaratine working well. There have been no deaths and a only a few hundred cases in a country of 97 million with a porous border with China. Vietnam’s severe lockdown and quarantine was probably more severe than could be accomplished in western countries, but nevertheless, the evidence is instructive.

Keep this in mind as we contemplate re-opening for business and life.

It is already clear that the generally accepted model for development of this pandemic  (developed by Dr. Ferguson of UK) overestimated the extent of this corona virus pandemic.  That model was accepted by most governments and authorities and they have taken serious actions based on the assumed course of development of the pandemic described in the model.

One can argue that the fairly quick reaction by governments and the people reduced the extent, but that is a weak argument since people and finally governments would have eventually reacted to spread of the disease. So, we will never know for sure.

In other words, the end result could have been the same if we had let nature run its course and people reacted in real time as necessary.

And yes, I believe all of that to be true for economics events such as recessions as well as epidemics and pandemics.

Phylogenetic network of 160 SARS-CoV-2 genomes.

A previous paper, Zhou et al. (7) recently reported a closely related bat coronavirus, with 96.2% sequence similarity to the human virus.  The sequence of the corona virus 19 at the A node in Wuhan is 96.2% similar to the sequence reported by Zhou et al from a bat in Yunnan Province over 1000 miles from Wuhan.  Details in the full paper at the link below.

Node A is the root cluster obtained with the bat (R. affinis) coronavirus isolate BatCoVRaTG13 from Yunnan Province. The other nodes (circles) are mutational derivatives of node A.

Circle areas are proportional to the number of taxa (a), and each notch on the links [tiny hash marks on the lines] represents a mutated nucleotide position. The 161 taxa (160 human viruses and one bat virus) yield 101 distinct genomic sequences.

Sequence is identified by comparison to reference standard sequence .  The sequence range under consideration is 56 to 29,797, with nucleotide position (np) numbering according to the Wuhan 1 reference sequence (8). The median-joining network algorithm (2) and the Steiner algorithm (9) were used, both implemented in the software package Network5011CS (https://www.fluxus-engineering.com/), with the parameter epsilon set to zero, generating this network containing 288 most-parsimonious trees of length 229 mutations.

The reticulations (b) are mainly caused by recurrent mutations at np11083.

The phylogenetic diagram is available for detailed scrutiny in A0 poster format (SI Appendix, Fig. S5) and in the free Network download files. (see full paper at the link below.)

Definitions:

(a) Taxa (plural of taxon) are any group or rank in a biological classification (i.e. taxonomy) into which related organisms are grouped, for example, species, families, phylums, orders, genus, race, etc.
(b) Reticulations are the crossing and intersecting net-like patterns. Reticulate evolution, or network evolution, describes the origination of a lineage through the partial or entire merging of two ancestor lineages.  Imagine two tree limbs which grew out of a single tree trunk and then later grew back together wholly or partially and a new, third limb emerges or the two limbs could merge into one.

Citation:  Phylogenetic network analysis of SARS-CoV-2 genomes

Peter Forster, Lucy Forster, Colin Renfrew, Michael Forster

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Apr 2020, 202004999; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2004999117

Please read the full paper at this link:

https://www.pnas.org/content/early/2020/04/07/2004999117

The description of the graphic above is by the authors in the paper.  I added some definitions for simplicity and understanding.

The growth rate of U.S. deaths reported with Corona virus dropped from 153% to 98% in the last seven days (10 April 2020 to 17 April 2020) versus the previous week.  As of 17 April 2020 there were 37,154 deaths in the U.S. reported with Corona virus C-19, versus 18,747 last week.  The rate of growth of deaths is still almost doubling in 7 days, but the rate of growth has peaked and is now declining.  The curve is flattening.

Weekly growth rates:

24 March: 398%.

3 April: 620%

10 April: 153%

17 April: 98%

I am with Elon Musk on this. Why does CNN still exist?

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1250694748320395265?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1250694748320395265&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redstate.com%2Fbonchie%2F2020%2F04%2F16%2Felon-musk-absolutely-wrecks-cnn-for-spreading-fake-news-about-his-donating-of-ventilators%2F

Here is a report of a single patient treated with EPO, a widely prescribed drug for treatment of anemia. It appears to confirm the computer-modeled hypothesis for a mechanism of action for CoV-2 virus involving hemoglobin in red blood cells. Obviously, a single anecdotal report from the clinic is not sufficient testing.

J Med Virol. 2020 Apr 8. doi: 10.1002/jmv.25839. [Epub ahead of print]

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/?term=32270515&fbclid=IwAR3J-mRAHKIffEaJL_udP_LT1uIT9HrkGXYg1PlE3EOqGLuh_KaI84CGxa4

Coronavirus expert Christian Drosten provides a view from Germany on COVID-19 and SARS-CoV-2.

https://www.microbe.tv/twiv/twiv-601/?fbclid=IwAR3-xcAVhG_U6SG4tcLZ2dHQQYi0mie2Vu-Kur0qV6boF1Q_szDjPCh6qHA