The zombie religion of global warming

The arguments made by NOAA, UN, EPA and so forth are dependent on a hypothesis which has been falsified many times over by real world data.  Proponents of the hypothesis created many computer models during three decades, but so far, none of these models has been able to accurately predict global temperatures retrospectively or prospectively.  A computer model is only a hypothesis.  A hypothesis must be tested against real world data.  The hypothesis predicted that increasing atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide would trigger catastrophic warming of the planet.  This has not happened.

Many billions of dollars have been spent attempting to validate this hypothesis over the last 30 years.  However, much to the consternation of the proponents, the planet has not warmed and the models have been unable to predict even the general direction of global temperature.  The actual measured temperature trend has been statistically flat for more than 15 years and during that the same period the trend of CO2 concentration has continued to increase in its long term trend which began before the industrial revolution, that is before humans began using coal, oil and gas.  Climate model after model, more than 70, have continued to predict warming, some continue to predict catastrophic warming, but the global temperature trend, as measured by the most accurate means possible (satellites), has remained trendless, statistically flat.

Weather and climate changes almost continuously locally and globally, but global climate and temperature are averages computed across years and across geography.  Despite temperature swings as much as 50 degrees in one day in some locations, the average temperature for planet has varied considerably less than 1 degree.

In addition, examinations of historical data have revealed that when global temperatures trends have increased, this increase occurred prior to increasing trends in CO2 concentration.  An effect cannot occur prior to a cause, so CO2 cannot be a significant cause or trigger for warming trends.  More likely trends of increasing CO2 are an effect of planetary warming, especially oceanic warming.  Humans contribute only minor CO2 compared to the oceans.

Other studies revealed that CO2 concentrations have historically been several times higher than today’s trace concentration of CO2 and during these elevated periods there was abundant life, e.g. the Jurassic period of dinosaurs and nearly planet-wide jungle.  Many other real life scientific studies with growing various flora and fauna have shown that higher atmospheric concentrations of CO2, even several times higher, result in enhanced growth.  These were not computer models but growing of real plants and animals.

Other studies revealed several periods (e.g. Roman, Middle Ages) when temperatures were warmer than the warmest of modern temperatures and during those warm periods life was abundant, while in contrast cold periods such as the Little Ice Age resulted in high death rates.  In other words, even if the planet were warming, the result would likely be good for living things, not catastrophically bad.

Finally, it has been revealed that many of the studies published by global warming proponents have been faked with manipulated data, and those global warming proponents have made many attempts to ostracize, black list, defame and defund scientists and others who were skeptical of their warmist claims.

In summary, the hypothesis espoused by a relatively small group of climate scientists has failed miserably, although many no doubt will continue to fight for their belief in order to keep their jobs, their grants, and travel benefits.  But, multiple countries have withdrawn support for the UN climate change regime and have begun reversing regulations and taxes on carbon.

Roger Pielke, Jr., a professor in environmental studies and politics in science concluded recently, after reading drafts of the UN climate report AR5 chapter 2,  “Of course, I have no doubts that claims will still be made associating floods, drought, hurricanes and tornadoes with human-caused climate change — Zombie science — but I am declaring victory in this debate.”  Geologist Don Easterbrook states: “When compared to the also recently published NIPCC (Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change) 1000+-page volume of data on climate change with thousands of peer-reviewed references, the inescapable conclusion is that the [UN] IPCC report must be considered the grossest misrepresentation of data ever published.”

Climate of Uncertainty: A U.N. report can’t explain the hiatus in global warming.

http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304713704579092883286839894

OPINION EUROPE

The Political Science of Global Warming: The U.N.’s latest climate-change report should be its last.

http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303464504579106993839343868

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Snowden: A Manifesto for the Truth (repost)

by Edward Snowden

This article by Edward Snowden was published Sunday in Der Spiegel.

In a very short time, the world has learned much about unaccountable secret agencies and about sometimes illegal surveillance programs. Sometimes the agencies even deliberately try to hide their surveillance of high officials or the public. While the NSA and GCHQ seem to be the worst offenders – this is what the currently available documents suggest – we must not forget that mass surveillance is a global problem in need of global solutions.

Such programs are not only a threat to privacy, they also threaten freedom of speech and open societies. The existence of spy technology should not determine policy. We have a moral duty to ensure that our laws and values limit monitoring programs and protect human rights.

Society can only understand and control these problems through an open, respectful and informed debate. At first, some governments feeling embarrassed by the revelations of mass surveillance initiated an unprecedented campaign of persecution to supress this debate. They intimidated journalists and criminalized publishing the truth. At this point, the public was not yet able to evaluate the benefits of the revelations. They relied on their governments to decide correctly.

Today we know that this was a mistake and that such action does not serve the public interest. The debate which they wanted to prevent will now take place in countries around the world. And instead of doing harm, the societal benefits of this new public knowledge is now clear, since reforms are now proposed in the form of increased oversight and new legislation.

Citizens have to fight suppression of information on matters of vital public importance. To tell the truth is not a crime.

Translated by Martin Eriksson. This text was written by Edward Snowden on November 1, 2013 in Moscow. It was sent to SPIEGEL staff over an encrypted channel.

http://www.globalresearch.ca/a-manifesto-for-the-truth/5356919      

https://magazin.spiegel.de/reader/index_SP.html#j=2013&h=45&a=119402581

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Unity

This is an OUTSTANDING article by David Horowitz that should be read and understood by all lovers of freedom, especially tea party members, conservatives, Republicans and libertarians. http://www.nationalreview.com/article/362992/uniting-right-david-horowitz/page/0/2

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The itch of free will

We do have free will, some of us anyway. Free will allows one to override human nature. Some people want to believe so strongly that they believe lies, they suspend disbelief and common sense. “Some” would be about 90% of the population who may listen to warnings, explanations, etc. but they won’t do anything about it until it actually happens.

The brain, genetically speaking, is part of the immune system, it responds when attacked, when hungry, basic needs, etc. An action of free will is a convergence of meta-information over and above the brain’s normal immune functions. An action of free will may not have been tested against nature, it usually isn’t.  We read about it somewhere and it is now part of the meta-information of our life.  Seldom have we actually burned our finger on the hot stove.  Properly used, an intended action of free will must first be tested against natural laws, against reality. Unfortunately, that testing rarely happens and ,instead, implementation is attempted on untested theories, ideologies and beliefs. Of the 10% remaining in the population who were not true believers, then 9% of those remaining are thinkers who will agree on an action plan. But only 1% will study the plan and test it against natural law before acting.

Ah utopia … if only human nature did not interfere, then everything could be perfect [satire].  You might like Robert Heinlein’s book “For us the Living.” Note that the proceeds from sale of the book are given to human exploration of outer space.  It seems Heinlein did not have much hope for the folk who remain on earth.  The economics in the book are interesting for utopian readers and briefly explained at this wiki.  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/For_Us,_The_Living:_A_Comedy_of_Customs

“When hopes and dreams are loose in the streets, is well for the timid to lock doors, shutter windows, and lie low until the wrath has passed. For there is often a monstrous incongruity between the hopes, however noble and tender, and the action which follows them. It is as if ivied maidens and garlanded youths were to herald the four horsemen of the apocalypse…Almost all our contemporary movements showed in their early stages a hostile attitude toward the family, and did all they could to discredit and disrupt it. They did it by undermining the authority of parents; by facilitating divorce; by taking over responsibility for feeding, educating, and entertaining the children; and by encouraging illegitimacy. … a disruption of the family, whatever its causes, fosters automatically a collective spirit and creates a responsiveness to the appeal of mass movements.” ~ Eric Hoffer, The True Believer: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements.  Download it for free, here: http://www.gobookee.org/true-believer-eric-hoffer/

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When Healthcare.gov works, then what?

There is an even bigger problem. This dog won’t hunt.  Even if/when the website works, it does not address the fundamental problem, which is the availability of doctors to treat patients. In fact it does the opposite, it layers on massive amounts of new regulations and pricing controls which reduces the number of doctors and hospitals in the system. Here in MA where we have had Romney-care for a few years now, based on MA Medical Assn data, in MA it takes longer than the national average to see a doctor, and this is in a state that has much higher doctor to patient ratio. Obamacare adds 159 new agencies/committees to the healthcare bureaucracy, ten times more than MA.
 
It is as if they wrote a hugely complex law requiring that a levitation car be built and then they go about building the factory and signing people up to buy the cars, but no one ever addressed the problems in physics and mechanics regarding levitation. I mean this is a giant DUH.

 

“They were running the biggest start-up in the world, and they didn’t have anyone who had run a start-up, or even run a business,” said David Cutler, a Harvard professor and health adviser to Obama’s 2008 campaign.” …much less someone who had run a software business or a healthcare business. The person Obama appointed to run the FDA had never even set foot in a biotech company when she was appointed, yet she was responsible for regulating the entire food and drug industries.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/challenges-have-dogged-obamas-health-plan-since-2010/2013/11/02/453fba42-426b-11e3-a624-41d661b0bb78_story_4.html 

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Mr. President, tear down this climate change bureaucracy

Today, Obama issued an Executive Order “Preparing the United States for the Impacts of Climate Change” which even the UN IPCC acknowledged is not happening and they don’t know why their climate models are not working. There is no smoking gun; CO2 is not pollution at its current atmospheric concentration or even at several times higher concentrations, nor is human-caused CO2 causing rapid temperature increases. A President interested in helping his country would tear down the EPA bureaucracy created for climate change, as Australia’s newly elected Prime Minister is doing. But not President Obama. Acting directly contrary to abundant scientific evidence, he orders a long list of government departments to become active at all levels across the country to prepare for climate change. So, since there has not been any climate change and there is no real world data that projects unusual climate change, what is Obama’s actual intent? Why do we need so much government control? It is not necessary, it will not be effective, but it already is and will be very costly. http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2013/11/01/executive-order-preparing-united-states-impacts-climate-change

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Stop NSA invasion of privacy

“The perception here is of a United States where security has trumped liberty, intelligence agencies run amok (vacuuming up data of friend and foe alike), and the once-admired “checks and balances” built into American governance and studied by European schoolchildren have become, at best, secret reviews of secret activities where opposing arguments get no hearing.” – New York Times columnist Roger Cohen

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Too much trust, not enough verification

On the front page of the New York Times, August 19, 2000, “Ages-Old Polar Icecap Is Melting, Scientists Find“ … but ten days later a correction was unceremoniously appended to the bottom of the article after interrogation of the claims by Dr. Fred Singer in the Wall Street Journal.  But by that time, the erroneous claims in the NYT were replicated around the world by every major newspaper, television, magazine and later by an Oscar award winning, error-filled documentary movie.  Everyone was suddenly alarmed about the fate of polar bears and worried about global warming.

Now in 2013 the result is still evident in a very poorly informed public, where, in U.S. alone, the people have allowed their government to spend $120 billion (and the spending continues full tilt) chasing an erroneous, unverified global warming theory.

The original NYT article said the following:

“…for the time being, an ice-free patch of ocean about a mile wide has opened at the very top of the world, something that has presumably never before been seen by humans and is more evidence that global warming may be real and already affecting climate. The last time scientists can be certain the pole was awash in water was more than 50 million years ago.”

NOT appearing on the front page, but appended to the bottom of the archived article 10 days later was this…”Correction: August 29, 2000, Tuesday A front-page article on Aug. 19 and a brief report on Aug. 20 in The Week in Review about the sighting of open water at the North Pole misstated the normal conditions of the sea ice there. A clear spot has probably opened at the pole before, scientists say, because about 10 percent of the Arctic Ocean is clear of ice in a typical summer. The reports also referred incompletely to the link between the open water and global warming. The lack of ice at the pole is not necessarily related to global warming.”

Hat tip: JunkScience.com  http://junkscience.com/2013/10/18/revisiting-ipcc-officials-north-pole-melts-after-50-million-year-freeze-thats-not-his-only-problem/

http://www.nytimes.com/2000/08/19/us/ages-old-icecap-at-north-pole-is-now-liquid-scientists-find.html

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“Liquidate, liquidate, liquidate !”

The advice of Andrew Mellon to Herbert Hoover.  President Hoover did not accept that advice and the Great Depression continued for more than 10 years.

Flag_UpsideDown_108

Your government has just acted exactly opposite to your best interests and the best interests of the United States.  They have authorized increased government spending instead of making the severe Federal budget cuts that are necessary to avoid the severe economic crisis directly ahead.  Instead of liquidating mal-investments in the Federal government regulatory structure, your political leaders have guaranteed economic stagnation followed by depression.

Have you been to Washington DC recently?  It is in a massive hiring and building boom.  New roads, new buildings, new neighborhoods all around town.  Instead of reducing the cost and complexity of government regulations, we are hiring more and more regulators.  Obamacare alone requires 159 new agencies, boards or committees.

Regulator Hiring Boom-081911

Evidence clearly shows that increasing government spending reduces economic growth.  When growth stagnates, payment of interest on debt becomes more difficult and eventually impossible.  Government and central bank attempt to keep interest rates low in order to reduce the government’s cost of borrowing more and more to pay for ever-larger government.  But this is counter-productive mal-investment.  The low interest rates are further disincentive for private industry to invest in production and innovation.  Companies are better off buying back their own stock and downsizing employment in a stagnant economy.

size of gov vs economic growth

The graphic immediately above shows 10 years of OECD data (more than 80 countries) of government spending as a percent of GDP versus average growth rate of GDP.  The growth rate of the US for 2012 was 2.2% and government expenditures in the US were 39.5% of GDP.  The efficiency of US government expenditures was less than the average of OECD countries.  Some economists argue that the U.S. growth rate is overstated.

Raising the debt ceiling, that is, authorizing further increases to federal spending as Congress and the President have just done, will be counter-productive, resulting in lower economic growth, fewer jobs, and a downward spiraling economy.  This is irresponsible government.

Private sector job gains by cutting federal budget

What is needed is significant reduction in federal government spending toward an optimum level around 20% of GDP, along with reductions and optimizations in state and local government budgets.  It can be done.  The state of Wisconsin, which has a balanced budget, recently passed a $100 million reduction in taxes.  Wisconsin and other states like Texas are showing the way.

800px-CBO_-_Revenues_and_Outlays_as_percent_GDP

Failure to reduce government spending, not just reduce the rate of growth of spending, is negligence on the part of political leaders.  We need negative growth of spending, but well managed, not overly severe, and spread over years.  A balanced budget is just the first step toward fiscal sanity, but they have refused to do that.  Beyond a balanced budget, deeper cuts will be required for years in order to reduce the existing outstanding government debt.  Managing sustained negative growth of spending, spread over many years, is required to minimize the inevitable financial pain.   This implies huge reform in government agencies, government employment policies, government employee incentives, and oversight and regulations.  Size and complexity of government at all levels must be reduced.

GDP Gains from cutting budget

Excessive government spending has already pushed the U.S. economy into a downward spiral.  We are in that downward spiral now.  Government, in Washington D.C., in other countries, and in most U.S. state and local governments, is throwing gasoline on a dangerous fire.  If this were a healthy economy, we would have experienced a recovery that included several quarters of double digit growth following the severe financial meltdown of 2008 and 2009.  Instead, we have 2% growth, massive dropouts from the labor force, and leaps in enrollment for welfare programs such as Food Stamps.

Labor Force Participation Rate

 Fourteen million people in America are receiving monthly, permanent disability checks.  Since 2008, more people have been placed on permanent disability than in jobs.  Federal spending on social programs is growing 18 times faster than the economy.  Over 100 million people in the U.S. are now receiving Federal welfare.  Social Security and Medicare payments are not welfare but rather insurance benefits which were paid for by employers and employees in their wages.

Receiving Welfare

GAO_Slide

The United States is already bankrupt but refusing to re-organize or even acknowledge its problems.  “According to the most recent tax data, all individuals filing tax returns in America and earning more than $66,193 per year have a total adjusted gross income of $5.1 trillion. In 2006, when corporate taxable income peaked before the recession, all corporations in the U.S. had total income for tax purposes of $1.6 trillion. That comes to $6.7 trillion available to tax from these individuals and corporations under existing tax laws.  In short, if the government confiscated the entire adjusted gross income of these American taxpayers, plus all of the corporate taxable income in the year before the recession, it wouldn’t be nearly enough to fund the over $8 trillion per year in the growth of U.S. liabilities.” ~ Writing in the Wall Street Journal, Mr. Chris Cox, a former chairman of the House Republican Policy Committee and the Securities and Exchange Commission, is president of Bingham Consulting LLC. Mr. Bill Archer, a former chairman of the House Ways & Means Committee, is a senior policy adviser at PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP.    http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424127887323353204578127374039087636

Growth Rate of Total Federal Spending versus Growth Rate of Median Household Income

Federal spending

During the economic collapse known as “The Great Depression,” Andrew Mellon, Secretary of the Treasury for under three Presidents, advised U.S. President Herbert Hoover, “Liquidate labor, liquidate stocks, liquidate the farmers, liquidate real estate.  It will purge the rottenness out of the system.  High costs of living and high living will come down.  People will work harder, live a more moral life.  Values will be adjusted, and enterprising people will pick up the wrecks from less competent people.”  “Additionally, he advocated weeding out “weak” banks as a harsh but necessary prerequisite to the recovery of the banking system. This “weeding out” was accomplished through refusing to lend cash to banks (taking loans and other investments as collateral), and by refusing to put more cash in circulation. He advocated spending cuts to keep the federal budget balanced, and opposed fiscal stimulus measures.” (1)  President Hoover rejected Mellon’s advice.  “The Great Depression” lasted fully 10 years, arguably until the U.S. entered World War II.   

That was then.  Today, the mal-investments are in different places than they were in 1928.  Today, the United States needs to liquidate many agencies of government at all levels, re-institute banking laws such as the Glass-Steagall Act (The Banking Act of 1933), weed out high risk derivatives trading by too-big-to-fail banks, restore solvent banking practices and eliminate zero reserve banking, regain public control of the Federal Reserve System and institute prudent banking practices there.  We also must eliminate all U.S. liabilities to global banks such as the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, and eliminate obligations to the United Nations and similar supranational agencies because these supranational agencies cannot be managed under the U.S. Constitutional system of law without relinquishing the sovereign liberties of American citizens.  Foreign aid must be eliminated for some years; it is financial insanity to borrow from one country and give it to a third country.  The total burden of regulations on private industry must be reduced and optimized.

Cost per federal regulator

As in the Great Depression, if we do not act appropriately, these liquidations will occur whether we like it not.  We will have what has been called “creative destruction.”  We have a choice to insert new politicians who will manage the liquidations to minimize the pain and suffering, or else we can continue to ignore our incompetent, thieving, debt-and-power-addicted politicians and then economy and government will certainly crash, perhaps brought about by violent efforts to overthrow our corrupted government in an American Spring, or perhaps brought about by a futile and unnecessary war with dissatisfied creditor nations.

(1) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_W._Mellon

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The enormous debt ceiling lie

Do you think you know how bad our debt really is?   Watch this entire video.   Sit down first. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yibVqwqMLHM …. it’s long, but it’s fact filled and ends with an utter knock-out punch to the lie you are being told about our debt.

“The actual liabilities of the federal government—including Social Security, Medicare, and federal employees’ future retirement benefits—already exceed $86.8 trillion, or 550% of GDP…”    

“According to the most recent tax data, all individuals filing tax returns in America and earning more than $66,193 per year have a total adjusted gross income of $5.1 trillion. In 2006, when corporate taxable income peaked before the recession, all corporations in the U.S. had total income for tax purposes of $1.6 trillion. That comes to $6.7 trillion available to tax from these individuals and corporations under existing tax laws.”

“In short, if the government confiscated the entire adjusted gross income of these American taxpayers, plus all of the corporate taxable income in the year before the recession, it wouldn’t be nearly enough to fund the over $8 trillion per year in the growth of U.S. liabilities.” ~ Mr. Chris Cox, a former chairman of the House Republican Policy Committee and the Securities and Exchange Commission, is president of Bingham Consulting LLC. Mr. Bill Archer, a former chairman of the House Ways & Means Committee, is a senior policy adviser at PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP.http

“Why $16 Trillion Only Hints at the True U.S. Debt: Hiding the government’s liabilities from the public makes it seem that we can tax our way out of mounting deficits. We can’t.”  

http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424127887323353204578127374039087636

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